Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.393919 0.455044 0.521635 0.599452 0.687769 0.784766 0.899238
2025-09-07 0.305442 0.392622 0.496967 0.630477 0.796124 0.994203 1.248259
2025-09-14 0.236772 0.330015 0.449788 0.613683 0.830693 1.106571 1.481974
2025-09-21 0.190551 0.284321 0.412094 0.596917 0.854995 1.199730 1.691591
2025-09-28 0.157714 0.249992 0.382453 0.583578 0.877635 1.287463 1.896258
2025-10-05 0.139700 0.233546 0.374539 0.597828 0.937480 1.428340 2.182905
2025-10-12 0.128791 0.225870 0.377788 0.627552 1.020982 1.607925 2.537506
2025-10-19 0.116601 0.214093 0.372709 0.642893 1.082719 1.758684 2.859396
2025-10-26 0.104579 0.200705 0.363043 0.649078 1.129444 1.888698 3.157648
2025-11-02 0.093039 0.186405 0.349881 0.647441 1.162282 1.998010 3.429639
2025-11-09 0.081997 0.171382 0.333517 0.638132 1.180601 2.084073 3.668771
2025-11-16 0.072573 0.158042 0.318462 0.629163 1.197931 2.168606 3.909717
2025-11-23 0.062584 0.142355 0.297577 0.607964 1.192745 2.216376 4.095491
2025-11-30 0.060002 0.141502 0.304885 0.640277 1.287209 2.443240 4.605635
2025-12-07 0.052432 0.128923 0.287614 0.623310 1.288418 2.505083 4.829719
2025-12-14 0.045875 0.117543 0.271319 0.606308 1.287527 2.562198 5.047992
2025-12-21 0.040473 0.107951 0.257542 0.592777 1.291759 2.628294 5.286015
2025-12-28 0.037945 0.104792 0.257222 0.607232 1.352797 2.804931 5.740690
2026-01-04 0.036787 0.104830 0.263960 0.637383 1.448103 3.053167 6.345918
2026-01-11 0.034667 0.102109 0.264087 0.652944 1.514099 3.248247 6.860187
2026-01-18 0.032132 0.097918 0.260280 0.659218 1.560694 3.407558 7.313641
2026-01-25 0.029378 0.092694 0.253364 0.657558 1.589731 3.532898 7.706407
2026-02-01 0.026479 0.086602 0.243579 0.648115 1.600649 3.621508 8.029997